Biology · 6. Inheritance and variation
Alleles, genotypes and genetic probability
Use genetic crosses to predict ratios and distinguish probability from certainty.
Driving question
What can a predicted genetic ratio say—and not say—about one family?
Curriculum coverage
Vietnam 2018 and Cambridge: alleles, meiosis, genetic crosses and probability.
Model scope and limitations
The single-gene model assumes complete dominance; it does not directly cover polygenic, linked, incompletely penetrant or environmental traits.
Learning objectives
- Distinguish gene, allele, genotype and phenotype.
- Construct gametes and Punnett squares.
- Interpret ratios as probabilities over many offspring, not a fixed family sequence.
Prerequisite knowledge
- Meiosis and fertilisation
- Simple probability
Core knowledge
Alleles and genotype
A diploid individual usually has two alleles at a locus, one inherited from each parent.
Segregation
The two alleles segregate into different gametes during meiosis.
Probability
Each fertilisation is a new event; a 3:1 ratio does not guarantee exactly three and one in every four offspring.
Worked example
Aa × Aa gives AA, Aa, Aa and aa, a 1:2:1 genotype ratio; with complete dominance the phenotype ratio is 3:1.
Misconceptions to avoid
- A 3:1 ratio is a long-run probability, not a guarantee for every four offspring.
- Dominant does not mean more common, healthier or more beneficial.
Virtual experiment procedure: Mendelian genetics
- Choose parent genotypes and list each gamete type.
- Combine gametes in a Punnett square and count genotypes and phenotypes.
- Run many simulated offspring and compare observed frequency with theoretical probability.
Safety and cautions
- Do not use a single-gene classroom model for personal diagnosis.
- Avoid labelling alleles “good/bad”; phenotype depends on biological context.
Evidence to collect
- Gamete lists, a Punnett square and genotype/phenotype ratios.
- A comparison of simulated frequency with probability, explaining sample-size variation.
Diagnostic check
1. What is genotype Aa called?
Show answer and explanation
Correct answer: Heterozygous
Two different alleles at a locus make a heterozygous genotype.
2. Which gametes can an Aa individual produce at this locus?
Show answer and explanation
Correct answer: A and a
Each gamete receives one allele from the locus.
3. What does a predicted 25% ratio mean?
Show answer and explanation
Correct answer: Probability for each fertilisation
Probability does not prescribe the sequence in a small family.
Application practice
1. What genotype ratio results from Aa × Aa?
Show answer and explanation
Correct answer: 1 AA : 2 Aa : 1 aa
The four combinations are AA, Aa, Aa and aa.
2. With complete dominance, what is the recessive-phenotype probability in Aa × Aa?
Show answer and explanation
Correct answer: 25%
Only aa shows the recessive phenotype: 1/4 = 25%.
3. When may a simple Mendelian ratio not apply?
Show answer and explanation
Correct answer: Polygenic or linked traits
The model must change when independent, single-gene or complete-dominance assumptions fail.
Academic references
This lesson is maintained against the cited sources below. Simulations are learning models and do not replace supervised physical-laboratory safety procedures.
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